Let’s break down this cyclical BITCOINpattern:
???? 1st Halving – Nov 28, 2012
Price at halving: ~$12.35
ATH: ~$1,163 (Dec 2013, 372 days later)
Gain: +9,325%
???? 2nd Halving – Jul 9, 2016
Price at halving: ~$650.63
ATH: ~$19,783 (Dec 2017, 526 days later)
Gain: +2,940%
Drop in ROI vs previous cycle: −68.5%
???? 3rd Halving – May 11, 2020
Price at halving: ~$8,821
ATH: ~$68,979 (Nov 2021, 548 days later)
Gain: +682%
Drop in ROI vs previous cycle: −76.8%
So yeah... returns are dropping every cycle — around 73% less each time.
???? Now, 4th Halving – Apr 19, 2024
Price at halving: ~$64,969
If the pattern continues and we see ~73% less ROI again: → 682% × (1 − 0.73) ≈ 184% gain
???? That gives us a projected ATH of: $64,969 × (1 + 1.84) ≈ ~$183,830 Around October 2025, if the average time to ATH holds (~537 days post-halving).
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